Artificial intelligence: AI at the heart of debates on regulation and future prediction

Last updated 10/12/2026

Artificial intelligence (AI) is at the heart of global debates, not only for its potential for regulation but also for its emerging ability to predict the future. Bold startups are actively betting on AI to refine forecasts in fields as varied as stock market movements, complex geopolitical scenarios like the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, or even the performance of music titles. According to Dan Schwarz, co-founder of FutureSearch, this technological revolution could make our current decision-making methods seem like the "stone age" by 2030. The performance of these AI models already surpasses that of human "superforecasters," individuals with exceptional estimation abilities. In September 2026, two AI models made history by taking the top two spots in the Metaculus Cup, a...

Western sources (news magazine, popular) agree that AI is at the center of debates on regulation and security, with calls for global rules from figures like Microsoft's Brad Smith. The East/South bloc (Center-Right / Pro-Gov) adds a nuance about the ability of advanced AI models to predict the future, complementing the discussion on regulation with a...

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